{"repo":"thxthanxwe/polymarket-trading-bot-gbm-btc-up-down-clob-arbitrage","free":true,"listed":false,"github":"https://github.com/thxthanxwe/polymarket-trading-bot-gbm-btc-up-down-clob-arbitrage","clone":"git clone https://github.com/thxthanxwe/polymarket-trading-bot-gbm-btc-up-down-clob-arbitrage.git","description":"Polymarket Trading Bot – AI Model Trading Bot for BTC 5m 15m 1h Polymarket Trading Bot – AI Model Trading Bot for BTC 5m 15m 1h Polymarket Trading Bot – AI Model Trading Bot for BTC 5m 15m 1h Polymarket Trading Bot – AI Model Trading Bot for BTC 5m 15m 1h Polymarket Trading Bot – AI Model Trading Bot for BTC 5m 15m 1h Polymarket Trading Bot –","language":"TypeScript","stars":22,"topics":["algorithmic-trading","automated-trading","btc-trading-bot","clob-arbitrage","fair-value","gbm","geometric-brownian-motion","nodejs","open-source","paper-trading"],"license":"MIT","category":"trading","readme_excerpt":"Polymarket Trading Bot – AI Model Trading Bot for BTC 5m 15m 1h Up Down Markets GBM Geometric Brownian Motion Probability Fair Value CLOB Arbitrage Bot Production-oriented open-source Polymarket trading bot for BTC Up/Down markets (5m · 15m · 1h). Estimates fair probability with Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) , compares to Polymarket CLOB odds, and executes only when expected edge exceeds fees, spread, and slippage. --- Talk to the Developer I built this bot because I wanted a transparent, engineer-friendly Polymarket trading bot — not a black box. I have achieved decent results in paper and live sessions, but I am actively pushing for more profit and smarter execution. If you are researching polymarket trading bot strategies, tuning GBM fair value, or experimenting with live CLOB execution — please open a GitHub Discussion or Issue . I genuinely want to connect, compare notes, and improve this project together. --- Dashboard Preview Paper and live sessions produce structured logs; the panels below illustrate the analytics workflow this bot is designed for. PnL Overview Edge Analysis (GBM vs CLOB) Model Calibration & Brier Score Live Session Monitor --- Why This Bot? Feature Description --------- ------------- GBM fair value Closed-form \\(P(\\text{Up})\\) from spot, strike, time, and EWMA vol CLOB edge engine Trades only when edge beats fees + spread + slippage + MIN EDGE Fractional Kelly sizing Quarter-Kelly default with hard USD caps Multi-timeframe 5m , 15m , 1h BTC Up/Down","default_branch":null,"files":null,"tree":[],"storefront":"/r/thxthanxwe","claimed":false,"request_supported":{"post":"https://gitbuyer.com/r/thxthanxwe/polymarket-trading-bot-gbm-btc-up-down-clob-arbitrage/request-supported","requests":0},"note":"indexed from public GitHub; nothing is for sale on this page. Clone it from GitHub. Paid listings live at /search."}