{"repo":"snpsnp21/Polymarket-Trading-Bot-AI-Model-BTC-5m-15m-1h-UpDown-Prediction-Market-Arbitrage-CLOB-Crypto-Bot","free":true,"listed":false,"github":"https://github.com/snpsnp21/Polymarket-Trading-Bot-AI-Model-BTC-5m-15m-1h-UpDown-Prediction-Market-Arbitrage-CLOB-Crypto-Bot","clone":"git clone https://github.com/snpsnp21/Polymarket-Trading-Bot-AI-Model-BTC-5m-15m-1h-UpDown-Prediction-Market-Arbitrage-CLOB-Crypto-Bot.git","description":"Polymarket Trading Bot – AI Model Trading Bot for BTC 5m 15m 1h UpDown | Prediction Market Arbitrage & CLOB Crypto Bot. ML + Bayesian anchor, paper/live modes, fractional Kelly risk.","language":"TypeScript","stars":15,"topics":["bayesian-inference","bitcoin","build-polymarket-bot-with-ai","clob","machine-learning","nodejs","polymarket-ai-agent","polymarket-ai-bot","polymarket-ai-trading-bot","polymarket-algo-trading"],"license":"MIT","category":"blockchain-web3","readme_excerpt":"Polymarket Trading Bot – AI Model Trading Bot for BTC 5m 15m 1h UpDown Prediction Market Arbitrage & CLOB Crypto Bot Production-oriented polymarket AI model trading bot for BTC Up/Down markets (5m · 15m · 1h) on Polymarket CLOB — combining gradient-boosted ML probability with Bayesian market anchoring, fractional Kelly sizing, and strict risk controls. --- Why This Project Exists I built this polymarket trading bot because prediction markets reward disciplined probability estimation—not gut feeling. The architecture fuses machine learning fair odds with Bayesian updating against live CLOB prices , so the bot only acts when net edge clears fees, spread, and slippage . I've achieved decent results in paper and live-adjacent testing, but I'm actively pushing for more profit —especially on multi-timeframe alignment and calibration at resolution boundaries. I want to discuss this project with visitors : strategy ideas, feature engineering, execution tweaks, and live-trading integration. Open an issue or start a discussion—I'm genuinely interested in collaborating. --- Dashboard Preview Professional analytics views from the bot's monitoring layer (paper trading simulation UI): PnL Performance Cumulative PnL, win rate, average net edge, and trade count across BTC 5m/15m/1h profiles. ML Calibration & Bayesian Anchor Brier score, log loss, ECE by timeframe; reliability diagram; Bayesian prior → ML → posterior flow. Multi-Timeframe Alignment 1h trend filter · 15m confirmation · 5m entr","default_branch":null,"files":null,"tree":[],"storefront":"/r/snpsnp21","claimed":false,"request_supported":{"post":"https://gitbuyer.com/r/snpsnp21/Polymarket-Trading-Bot-AI-Model-BTC-5m-15m-1h-UpDown-Prediction-Market-Arbitrage-CLOB-Crypto-Bot/request-supported","requests":0},"note":"indexed from public GitHub; nothing is for sale on this page. Clone it from GitHub. Paid listings live at /search."}